Round Robin Calculator
A round robin turns one list of selections into a pile of parlays. This page enumerates every combination, totals the risk, and prints the return at each hit level — plus the number the ticket slip never shows: the parlay margin, paid once per ticket.
A round robin is a set of parlays built automatically from a list of selections: n legs and a combination size k produce C(n, k) separate parlays, each staked and settled on its own. Three legs combined by twos is three two-leg parlays, not one three-leg parlay.
where:
- — the number of selections you hand the book, 3 or more. With there is only one combination, which is an ordinary parlay.
- — the combination size: 2 for “by twos”, 3 for “by threes”. A ticket combined by twos and threes is parlays.
- — the ticket count, dimensionless.
- — the stake per ticket, in dollars. This is the field people misread: the slip charges for every combination, not in total.
- — the total risk, in dollars.
- — how many of the legs actually won. A ticket cashes only when all of its legs are among those , so tickets cash and the rest are dead.
- — the decimal odds of leg , total return per dollar including stake. American −110 is .
The return when exactly legs win, for a card where every leg carries the same price:
Worked example — the numbers in the form below
Three legs at −110, combined by twos, $10 a ticket. Each −110 is decimal 1.909091.
Same math on a single ticket — the parlay calculator →
How a round robin is priced
Nothing new happens at the pricing layer. Each combination is an ordinary parlay, priced the way any parlay is priced: multiply the decimal odds of the legs inside it.
The only genuinely new object is the hit-level structure. A straight bet has two outcomes and a parlay has two outcomes; a round robin has of them, indexed by how many legs came in. The count of cashing tickets is a binomial coefficient of a binomial coefficient:
So the payoff curve is convex in . Getting one more leg right does not add a fixed amount — going from 3 correct to 4 correct on a 6-selection card by twos takes the cashing tickets from 3 to 6, doubling the return.
The vig is paid once per ticket
This is the number the slip does not print, and the reason a round robin is not the hedge it looks like.
Expected value is additive. The round robin’s expected value is the sum of its tickets’, and every ticket is a -leg parlay:
When every leg carries the same price and the same true probability, that collapses to something blunt: the round robin’s expected value per dollar equals the -leg parlay’s, exactly, for any number of selections. Three −110 legs on genuine coin flips:
Feed the same calculator eight selections instead of three and the ticket count goes from 3 to 28, the risk from $30 to $280, and the expected value per dollar stays at −8.88%. Spreading money across combinations changes the shape of the outcome distribution. It does not change the mean.
| $30 on three −110 legs, three ways | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 3 | EV / $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three straight bets, $10 each | +$27.27 | +$8.18 | −$10.91 | −$30.00 | −4.55% |
| Round robin by 2s, $10 × 3 tickets | +$79.34 | +$6.45 | −$30.00 | −$30.00 | −8.88% |
| One three-leg parlay, $30 | +$178.74 | −$30.00 | −$30.00 | −$30.00 | −13.03% |
Read the rows against each other rather than down a single column. The round robin sits between the other two on every measure at once — top payout, floor, and expected loss rate. It is the middle row because its tickets are two-leg parlays: shorter than the three-leg ticket, longer than the singles. The structure did nothing; the ticket length did everything.
Where the −8.88% comes from, outcome by outcome
Three coin-flip legs at −110, by twos, $10 a ticket. At the hit levels are binomial:
How many legs have to land
The break-even hit level is the smallest whose cashing tickets outrun the whole card:
The stake per ticket cancels, so depends only on the count of selections and the price. For −110 legs combined by twos:
| Selections | Tickets | Risk @ $10 | Legs to clear it | Net there | Net if all land |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | $30 | 2 of 3 | +$6.45 | +$79.34 |
| 4 | 6 | $60 | 3 of 4 | +$49.34 | +$158.68 |
| 5 | 10 | $100 | 3 of 5 | +$9.34 | +$264.46 |
| 6 | 15 | $150 | 4 of 6 | +$68.68 | +$396.69 |
| 7 | 21 | $210 | 4 of 7 | +$8.68 | +$555.37 |
| 8 | 28 | $280 | 5 of 8 | +$84.46 | +$740.50 |
Two things fall out of that column. First, climbs with the size of the card — more selections means a higher bar, not a lower one, because the risk grows faster than the cashing count. Second, the “Net there” column is jagged: clearing the bar by exactly one leg pays $8.68 on a seven-selection card and $84.46 on an eight-selection card. The break-even level is a step function, and a card sitting just under a step is paying full price for a payoff it barely reaches.
Second example: four legs, mixed prices, by twos
Legs at −120, −105, +140 and +180, combined by twos at $25 a ticket. Six tickets, $150 at risk.
What the round robin actually changes
Three statements, all arithmetic on the table above, none of them a recommendation:
- The mean is fixed by the ticket length. Expected value per dollar equals the -leg parlay’s, whatever is. Combining by twos costs 8.88¢ per dollar on −110 coin flips; by threes it costs 13.03¢.
- The variance falls. A single parlay pays once or not at all. A round robin has outcomes, and the middle ones are non-zero. That is a genuine change — it is just a change in dispersion, priced at nothing and worth nothing on average.
- The total risk multiplies quietly. $10 a ticket on eight selections by twos is $280, not $10. Round-robin slips are the single most common source of “I did not realize I had that much down”, because the stake field reads per ticket and the ticket count is a binomial coefficient.
If the legs carry a real edge, the same additivity works in your favor: every ticket is a positive-EV parlay and the sum is positive too. Finding that edge is a different calculation — expected value on each leg first, de-vigged against a reference price, then Kelly for the size. A round robin cannot manufacture an edge that the legs do not have.
Correlated legs break the arithmetic
Everything above multiplies probabilities, which assumes the legs are independent. Same-game legs are not: a team’s moneyline and its quarterback’s passing yards move together. Correlation cuts both ways in a round robin and it is not symmetric — positively correlated legs make the all-hit and all-miss outcomes fatter and the middle hit levels thinner, which is exactly the region the round robin was supposed to cover. Books price same-game combinations with a correlation adjustment, so the posted price will not match the product of the legs. This page computes the product; the gap between it and the book’s quote is the adjustment, and it is worth measuring rather than assuming.
When to use this calculator
- Before the slip is confirmed. The ticket count and the total risk are the two figures most often misread, and both are printed above the fold here.
- To compare structures on one bankroll. Enter the same legs and read the three-row table: straights, round robin, single parlay, on identical money.
- To find the break-even hit level. “How many do I need?” has an exact answer, and it is usually one leg higher than people guess.
- To check a book’s quoted round-robin price against the product of the legs. Any gap is the book’s extra margin or a correlation adjustment.
- With an honest probability in the last field. The panel prints expected value on your own estimate, and prints $0 when the inputs contain no edge.
Common mistakes
- Reading the stake field as the total. $20 a ticket on a six-selection round robin by twos is $300 at risk. The multiplier is and it grows fast.
- Believing the structure dilutes the vig. It does not. Expected value per dollar is the -leg parlay’s figure, unchanged at any number of selections.
- Treating a high hit rate as an edge. The default card above shows a profit half the time and still loses 8.88¢ per dollar. Frequency of profit and expected profit are unrelated quantities.
- Assuming partial credit starts at one leg. Below correct legs, nothing cashes at all. A round robin by threes returns exactly zero on two of six.
- Averaging mixed-price legs. With unequal prices the return at a given hit level is a range, not a number — which legs won changes the payout, sometimes by a factor of two.
- Multiplying correlated legs. Same-game selections violate the independence the probability arithmetic rests on, and the error lands hardest on the middle hit levels.
A round robin is a packaging decision, not a pricing one. The price lives in the legs and in how many of them ride on each ticket — which is why the parlay calculator is the page underneath this one, the no-vig calculator is where a leg’s fair price comes from, and expected value is the only place an edge can enter. For the structures that sit next to this one on a bet slip, see the teaser calculator and the middle calculator.
Frequently asked questions
What is a round robin bet?
A round robin is a set of parlays generated from one list of selections. n legs and a combination size k produce C(n,k) separate parlays, each staked and settled on its own. Three legs combined by twos is three two-leg parlays, not one three-leg parlay.
How many parlays are in a round robin?
C(n,k) = n! / (k!(n−k)!). Three legs by twos is 3 parlays; four legs by twos is 6; five by twos is 10; six by twos is 15; eight by twos is 28. Combining by twos and threes adds the two counts together.
How do you calculate a round robin payout?
Multiply the decimal odds inside each combination, multiply by the stake per ticket, and add up the tickets whose legs all won. If exactly j of the n legs win, C(j,k) tickets cash. Three −110 legs by twos at $10 a ticket risk $30 and return $109.34 when all three land, $36.45 when two land, and nothing below that.
Does a round robin reduce the vig?
No. Expected value is additive across tickets, so a round robin’s expected value per dollar is the same as the k-leg parlay it is built from. Three −110 legs by twos, at a true 50% per leg, return −8.88% per dollar — identical to a single two-leg parlay, and identical again at five, six or eight selections. What changes is the spread of outcomes, not the mean.
How many legs must hit for a round robin to show a profit?
The smallest j where C(j,k) × ticket payout exceeds the total risk. For −110 legs combined by twos: 2 of 3, 3 of 4, 3 of 5, 4 of 6, 4 of 7 and 5 of 8. Adding selections raises the number of legs that have to land before the set returns more than it risked.
Is a round robin better than a single parlay?
They are different bets, not better and worse. A single three-leg parlay of −110s returns $178.74 on $30 when all three land and −$30 otherwise. The same $30 as a 3-by-2s round robin returns $79.34 on three, $6.45 on two and −$30 below that. The round robin trades the top payout for a result on partial hits; the expected loss rate moves from −13.03% to −8.88% per dollar because the tickets are shorter, not because the structure is cheaper.